Existing home sales in Metro Vancouver fell almost 40 per cent in January from a year ago and prices are beginning to follow.

 

 

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver said Thursday there were 1,523 sales in January 2017, down from 2,519 sales a year ago and a drop of 11.1 per cent from the 1,714 sales in December. The January sales figures were 10.3 per cent below the 10-year average for the month.

In terms of prices, the board said its MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver was $896,000 in January, a 3.7 per cent decline over the past six months and a 0.2 per cent drop from December, 2016.

“From a real estate perspective, it’s a lukewarm start to the year compared to 2016,” Dan Morrison, president of the board, said in a statement. “While we saw near record-breaking sales at this time last year, home buyers and sellers are more reluctant to engage so far in 2017.”

The falling numbers come as Vancouver continues to grapple with the impact of a 15 per cent foreign property transfer tax the province began imposing in August. Last month, the British Columbia premier, Christy Clark, backtracked on her foreign tax by saying foreigners with work permits who live and work in B.C. would be exempted.

 

Meanwhile, in Toronto, realtors released a study on Tuesday to fend off cries for a similar tax in Canada’s largest city. The study from TREB showed almost five per cent of purchases in the Greater Toronto Area can be traced to foreign buyers.

January sales figures for Metro Vancouver’s detached properties — thought to be highly sought after by overseas buyers — saw only 444 deals. The slower pace of sales, represented a 57.6 per cent decline from a year ago.

The benchmark price for detached properties was $1,474,800, a 6.6 per cent decline over the last six months and a 0.6 per cent decrease compared to December 2016.

Supply appears to be ramping up quickly. The total number of new listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Metro Vancouver was 4,140 in January, 2017. That figure represented a 6.8 per cent decrease from a year ago but was up 215.5 per cent from December, 2016.

The total number of homes listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service in Metro Vancouver climbed 9.1 per cent over the last year to 7,238 in January, 2017. Total listings jumped 14.1 per cent from the 6,345 listings in December, 2016.

The sales-to-active listings ratio of 21 per cent in January, 2017 was 21 per cent, the lowest ratio for the region in two years.

“Analysts say that downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below the 12 per cent mark for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months,” the board said in a statement.

Morrison said property type is defining activity in the Greater Vancouver market. “The townhome and condominium markets are more active than the detached market at the moment,” Morrison said, adding while detached home prices are falling, townhome and condominium prices are holding steady.

Apartment property sales did decline 24.7 in January, 2017 from a year ago but the benchmark price of $512,300 was only off 0.3 per cent over the last six months and up 0.4 per cent from December, 2016.

gmarr@postmedia.com
twitter.com/dustywallet

Read full post

"Price momentum" in the Metro Vancouver area has spilled into the neighbouring Fraser Valley in cities in Chilliwack and Abbotsford-Mission. Rising demand and inventory shortages are also driving price rebounds in Victoria, economist Brian Yu says.
Mark van Manen/Postmedia Network files"Price momentum" in the Metro Vancouver area has spilled into the neighbouring Fraser Valley in cities in Chilliwack and Abbotsford-Mission. Rising demand and inventory shortages are also driving price rebounds in Victoria, economist Brian Yu says.

Canada’s most expensive housing market will continue to see price gains well ahead of the rate of inflation for the next two years, according to a report from a group which represents credit unions in British Columbia.

Central1, which acts as an association for credit unions in B.C. and Ontario, now says the median sale price of a home in Greater Vancouver will climb another 6.1 per cent in 2016 after a 4.5 jump this year. In 2017, the organization is predicting a 3.8 per cent increase.

“Metro Vancouver home prices have remained in the spotlight, keeping the housing affordability debate percolating in the news and social media,” wrote economist Bryan Yu, the author of the report.

His forecast comes as the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver’s October data showed sales in the region were 19.3 per cent higher than they were a year ago and 36.2 per cent above the long-term average for the month.

 

vancouver-housing
Prices have shot up, gaining 15.3 per cent over the period studied, based on the board’s benchmark price index which stood at $736,00 at the end of October. In the detached home category, Metro Vancouver prices were up 20.1 per cent from a year ago to $1,197,600.

Yu said median price growth has been generally moderate but that’s not the case with detached homes which are posting double-digit year over year increases. “This trend is showing few signs of stopping given the severe shortage of inventory in Metro Vancouver and long-term trends of limited land availability for low-density construction,” he wrote.

He notes that the “price momentum” in the Metro Vancouver area has spilled into the neighbouring Fraser Valley in cities in Chilliwack and Abbotsford-Mission. Rising demand and inventory shortages are also driving price rebounds in Victoria, Yu said.

On a province-wide basis, Central1 is calling for the median price to rise another 5.5 per cent this year, 5.9 per cent in 2016 and 2.7 per cent in 2017 when the price will reach $462,000.

Province-wide sales are expected to rise by 21 per cent this year but only 2.3 per cent in 2016. And the 0.5 per cent in 2017.

Read full post
Categories
The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB.